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There's significant progress on the horizon this week, especially for those looking to buy a home.
First, let’s talk about rates. It’s been a positive week overall. While mortgage rates remain above 7%—so there’s no cause for celebration just yet—there’s good news: rates actually ticked down this week. This shift happened because inflation numbers came in better than Wall Street expected. Interestingly, inflation itself actually increased.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose slightly, from 2.7% to 2.9%. That’s the headline figure. Meanwhile, the core CPI—the metric that excludes volatile items like food and energy—dropped from 3.3% to 3.2%. Although still above the 2% target, this marks incremental progress.
Why does this matter? Inflation is calculated on a rolling 12-month basis, meaning last year’s numbers drop off and are replaced by this year’s figures. An unusually low inflation reading dropped off, so the shift was anticipated.
Looking ahead to the first quarter, higher inflation numbers from early 2023 will be replaced, which could help drive inflation—and potentially mortgage rates—down further.
Now let’s zoom out. Rates are just one piece of the puzzle. The real story this week is homebuyer momentum.
In recent days, there is a growing sentiment of buyers being tired of paying rent, covering a landlord’s mortgage, and watching home prices rise while waiting on the sidelines.
It’s clear that many are ready to own a home and take advantage of the opportunities in today’s market.
Here’s the key takeaway: more and more buyers are starting to recognize three critical truths:
1. Home values aren’t in a bubble. Prices aren’t crashing anytime soon.
2. Rates won’t suddenly plummet. While a gradual decline is anticipated, waiting for the magical 5% rate is neither realistic nor practical. Many are coming to terms with this.
3. The current market offers opportunities. Sellers are motivated, and with homes spending more time on the market, buyers have a real chance to negotiate lower prices or secure seller-paid closing costs. These benefits can make a significant difference in the journey to homeownership.
The current market is as close to a buyer’s market as it has been in a long time, but this window likely won’t stay open forever. As rates ease—little by little—more buyers will jump in, increasing competition.
That’s why it’s important to get pre-approved now to be prepared for opportunities in 2025. The market rewards action, and being ready can make all the difference in achieving the goal of homeownership.
The information contained is the viewpoint of the presenter(s). Individuals should consult their own financial representative.
Estimated Mortgage Payment is for exemplary purposes only. Contact a licensed loan officer for exact numbers and APR. Additional rates and terms may apply and are subject to change without notice. Loan scenario assumes a purchase price of Zillow's list price and a 10% down payment. Points and fees not included. Property tax, homeowners insurance, mortgage insurance, and HOA fees are approximate and may vary. Other fees may apply. Product displayed is a conventional 30-year fixed rate mortgage using the current average rate as shown on Mortgage News Daily (mortgagenewsdaily.com).
Estimated Qualifying Income assumes a homebuyer has a FICO score above 740, no other credit debt, and a debt-to-income (DTI) ratio of 43%.
For exact numbers and APR or to run a loan scenario based on your own credit and income, contact our office at (858) 259-8700.
Rate Source: Mortgage News Daily. Rates displayed are approximate, subject to change, and do not necessarily reflect rates available to you. MND’s methods involve an objective component based on lenders' raw prices as well as a subjective impression from their network of originators. For more information about how these rates are calculated, visit www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/mortgage-rates/about.
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